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Intel Microprocessor Business ‘Doomed,’

post #1 of 5
Thread Starter 
Intel Microprocessor Business ‘Doomed,’ Claims ARM Co-Founder

Quote:
“The reason why ARM is going to kill the microprocessor is not because Intel will not eventually produce an Atom [Intel's low-power microprocessor] that might be as good as an ARM, but because Intel has the wrong business model,” said Dr. Hauser. “People in the mobile phone architecture do not buy microprocessors. So if you sell microprocessors you have the wrong model. They license them. So it’s not Intel vs. ARM, it is Intel vs. every single semiconductor company in the world.”

“If you look at the history of computing there was mainframe, which was dominated by IBM, then came the mini computer dominated by DEC, then came the third wave with workstations dominated by Sun and Apollo, then the PC, and now it’s the mobile architecture that is going to be the main computing platform at least on the terminal side.

“There is no case in the history of computing where a company that has dominated one wave has dominated the next wave and there is no case where a new wave did not kill the previous wave — as in obliterate them…the people that dominate the PC market are Intel and Microsoft.”

According to Dr. Hauser, Intel’s recent purchase of the Infineon was an attempt to re-position the company away from microprocessors and towards producing baseband processors, the key component of the mobile phone.

“Whether they can morph themselves into a baseband company remains to be seen,” he said.
In full.

What do you think?
post #2 of 5
Simple ARM is mobile phones, Intel is PC and laptop... Intel crowns the PC and laptop market with AMD running a close second... ARM may be the mobile phone 'CPU' of choice, but it still in the niche... Everyone (well almost everyone ) has a cellphone I know, but everyone I know and I mean everyone has a PC or laptop....
post #3 of 5
I think you're underestimating the tablet market over the next few years.
post #4 of 5
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr T View Post
Simple ARM is mobile phones, Intel is PC and laptop... Intel crowns the PC and laptop market with AMD running a close second... ARM may be the mobile phone 'CPU' of choice, but it still in the niche... Everyone (well almost everyone ) has a cellphone I know, but everyone I know and I mean everyone has a PC or laptop....
We do see a trend in ARM based Desktops, especially in the area of netPC, lately that would do away with conventional Intel/AMD boards for normal users. This would make a great impact into the PC market as a whole.

cheers ...
post #5 of 5
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr T View Post
Simple ARM is mobile phones, Intel is PC and laptop... Intel crowns the PC and laptop market with AMD running a close second... ARM may be the mobile phone 'CPU' of choice, but it still in the niche... Everyone (well almost everyone ) has a cellphone I know, but everyone I know and I mean everyone has a PC or laptop....
Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve View Post
I think you're underestimating the tablet market over the next few years.
Steve, you seem to share Dr. Hauser's opinion that there is going to be one dominant platform. From the articles I've read and my own limited experience and observation, I believe Mr. T is closer to the truth. The next wave in computing isn't one particular type of device, but extensive diversification. We're on track to become more of a Star Trek society; a society where almost everything is computerized but there is still a wide variety of devices to fit varying purposes. While tablets are likely to eat into the market share of current devices, they are unlikely to take over or replace any other devices. And for that reason, it is less likely that existing major tech companies will be overwhelmed by a market transition.
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